toadfish| CICC: Some foreign investment has been diverted into long-term capital and the reallocation of funds still requires fundamental improvement and cooperation

editor2周前Academia10

  中金发布研究报告称,后半周五一假期南向资金缺席,港股市场涨势延续,说明港股此轮反弹更多受外资支撑。国内资金面上,港股大涨,部分外资已转为流入。此外,截至3月底,各类基金主动资金较12月底对中资股toadfish的配置比例相较基准也有不同程度的回升。不过,长线资金的再配置仍然需要基本面改善配合,尤其是财政政策发力以应对当前通胀下行和信用收缩的问题。

toadfish| CICC: Some foreign investment has been diverted into long-term capital and the reallocation of funds still requires fundamental improvement and cooperation

  中金主要观点如下:

  本周全球资金面值得注意的变化是:1)追踪的EPFR资金数据显示,截至本周三(5月1日),海外主动资金依然显示流出A股和港股市场,不过流出规模较前一周大幅收窄;2)互联互通方面,北向资金延续流入,南向资金加速流入;3)全球市场,股票和债券市场维持流入,货币市场持续流出但流出规模明显收窄;4)美股和日本转为流入,发达欧洲及新兴市场仍延续流出。

  国内资金面上,港股大涨,部分外资已转为流入。本周港股市场再度迎来强劲上涨,恒生科技和恒生指数分别上涨6toadfish.8%和4.7%。南向资金在互联互通开市的两个交易日内维持流入,总计流入60亿港币。值得注意的是,后半周五一假期南向资金缺席,港股市场涨势延续,说明港股此轮反弹更多受外资支撑。截至本周三(4月25日-5月1日),EPFR海外主动型资金流出港股1.9亿美元,继续较上周的3.1亿美元收窄。拆解来看,主动型中的全球类基金本周转为流入中资股0.27亿美元,被动型中的全球基金及全球新兴市场基金分别转为流入0.41亿美元及0.40亿美元,或表明价值型资金已有部分回流。此外,截至3月底,各类基金主动资金较12月底对中资股的配置比例相较基准也有不同程度的回升。不过,长线资金的再配置仍然需要基本面改善配合,尤其是财政政策发力以应对当前通胀下行和信用收缩的问题。

  全球资金面上,主动外资流入印度与日本市场。截至本周三(4月25日-5月1日),本周印度市场主动外资延续流入,且规模增加(1.1亿美元vs. 此前一周流入0.4亿美元);日股方面,本周主动外资转为流入1.4亿美元,同时被动外资延续流入3.3亿美元。此外,主动外资在连续三周流出美股市场后,本周转为流入11.2亿美元,被动外资也加速流入21.4亿美元。

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